caffienekitty: (ponder)
caffienekitty ([personal profile] caffienekitty) wrote2011-02-20 04:50 pm

Sherlock Series 2 Speculation.

Okay, I was saving this to do as fic, I even have a couple scenes done. However, given the amount of time I don't have and the glacial speed of my fic posting, and the other assorted fic I have on the go (including another post-1.03 that doesn't use this theory), and that Moffat, Gattiss and co. will start filming soon and the spoilers with start proliferating and get harder to avoid, I'm just going to post this straight up.

See, like everyone else, I have a theory about how the situation at the end of 1.03 will be resolved. However, I haven't seen anyone make this particular observation yet.


Long, wordy theory on how the pool scenario might be resolved in the new season of Sherlock.

The bomb will not explode. The bomb was never going to explode.

Go back to the end of 1.03, the very end, when Moriarty comes back in. Now, putting everything you know about what happened prior to that moment aside, try to watch that part as though you don't know who is on what side, and who brought the bomb to the party.

Do you see it, or do I just sound insane?

Still insane. Okay. Evidence time.

Going back into the episode, Bomb Victim #2, the guy, Moriarty had him call in on Sally Donovan's cell phone. Obviously he could have pulled some bit of technical trickery to find the number, or maybe she has it listed I'm not sure how that works in the UK, but what if he already had it? What if Sally Donovan knows Moriarty as an informant or a contact with the hospital, or something else where to her he's just innocent, honest Jim.

Back earlier, to the beginning of the episode. A bomb was planted across the road from 221b and the shoes were planted in 221c. If Sherlock had been there, he would likely have noticed something was off, but he wasn't there when that was set up. Instead, Sherlock was on a wild case chase to Minsk, with a guy who seems more the type to write to "Dear Jim," than Sherlock. How did he get the idea Sherlock could help him? Almost guaranteed it was Moriarty, all to the purpose of getting Sherlock out of 221b, and also out of London. That's a lot of effort expended just to set a bomb and plant some shoes. For what other purposes did Moriarty need Sherlock out of town?

Back again to the pool. Moriarty and Sherlock confront each other the first time, the red dots indicate there are one, possibly two snipers (unless the first was a really fast runner and repositioned that quickly for the obverse angle on Sherlock). Moriarty leaves and returns, only now there are swarms of laser dots everywhere. Angles and numbers indicate a large team of snipers. What if they aren't all Moriarty's minions?

Imagine for a moment being a police officer or member of an armed response unit. You receive word that the person behind the recent spate of bomb threats and bombings is at a pool, and you and assorted authorities descend on said pool, but hang back, waiting for further confirmation, making sure the place isn't rigged to explode. Suddenly, someone comes out of the pool building. Hey, it's that weedy guy from the hospital Sally Donovan knows. Jim something. He passes information about the bomber inside the building, and the armed response unit is sent in. Before anyone can stop him, Jim runs back into the building. (Or something. Details. *handwaves*)

Now. Go back again, and watch the last few minutes of the episode again. Think of the swarms of laser sights as being from a police armed response unit. Watch the scene with that in mind. From their new and misinformed perspective, Sherlock looks like the mad bomber, and wee Jim looks like a hero.

Add to this perhaps a string of carefully planted evidence timed to surface after this incident, charges to Sherlock's account, witnesses, etc. All set up while Sherlock was occupied in Minsk and unlikely to notice little shifts in his personal affairs, all there to provide convincing proof that even though Sherlock was ostensibly working with Scotland Yard to stop the bomber, he was actually the bomber himself all along. It is said that the perpetrator often tries to insert himself into the investigation, and no one does that more thoroughly than Sherlock Holmes. The combination would casting his reputation into doubt, ruining his credibility with Scotland Yard, and getting him, at the very least, cut off from access to crime scenes.

This is Moriarty burning the heart out of Sherlock.

We all know where Sherlock keeps his heart. But Jim Moriarty is a psychopath, and the heart he will burn out of Sherlock will be the one he sees. Sherlock's obsession with the work.

The great thing about all this, if it actually happens, is that it's the heart that Moriarty doesn't see that will save Sherlock; his friends. Not just John who could be implicated by association and have his own difficulties to deal with, but Lestrade and Mycroft won't let any of it stand unchallenged.



So, anyway, that's my theory on what might happen. Might have made decent fic, could be complete crap, we'll see what really happens when Series 2 airs!


(Oh and if you know anything at all about any unaired Sherlock episodes, beyond their air date, please, PLEASE DO NOT TELL ME. This journal is a spoilerphobe zone, see sidebar for definition of spoiler as it pertains to this journal.)

[identity profile] tehomet.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 01:02 am (UTC)(link)
Ooh, clever!

[identity profile] beneficia.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 01:11 am (UTC)(link)
Ooh. O_o That... that is interesting. Season 2 with Sherlock on the outs with the Met. Hm. Still, "Jim from IT" would have to have some damn good explanations for things. But I can see that plot working out. Interesting.

[identity profile] fenm.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 01:27 am (UTC)(link)
Season 2 with Sherlock on the outs with the Met

If they think he's the bomber, it's a little more than "on the outs". More like, running for his freedom/life...

caffeinekitty, about the meta tag: It's "fandom: meta".

[identity profile] mazarin221b.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 01:50 am (UTC)(link)
OH, very interesting. I always thought Moriarty was the one that diverted Sherlock to Minsk, for the very reasons you stated, but the idea that the snipers could be a team of snipers from the police, well, huh. I never thought about it, but I could see how that progression could work.

(As far as I've seen, there aren't ANY spoilers out there for the next 3 episodes, so no worries. And I'm a total spoiler whore, so I've looked!)

[identity profile] fenm.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 01:50 am (UTC)(link)
unlikely to notice little shifts in his personal affairs

Mycroft would, though. You really think Jim could pull this off under the nose of the guy who's not only smarter than him (and yes, Mycroft IS smarter than Jim), but also the protective older brother of the guy he's trying to screw with?

Not just John who will be implicated by association

I don't think that follows, actually. A lot of people would think that Sherlock was fooling John, as well.

And, frankly, I think that's a far more interesting scenario. Sherlock will have to go on the run, but John won't. Will he anyway? Will he stay behind and be Sherlock eyes and ears in London? Or... what?

[identity profile] ungalad.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 01:50 am (UTC)(link)
Oh that would be pretty awesome! But I'm not sure it'd work... I mean, it'd have to be that the snipers can't hear a thing or even see Jim properly, because his body language doesn't look like someone who's trying to stop a bomber, right? Even so, it would be pretty cool! And Sherlock would probably have to be on the run and pretend to be death in order to clear his name. Or not. Argh, why are there only 3 episodes per season?! Dx

[identity profile] ciaranbochna.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 01:52 am (UTC)(link)
This certainly makes sense. I have wondered about those multitude of dots myself.

Looking forward to speculative fic;)

[identity profile] mazarin221b.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 01:54 am (UTC)(link)
Mycroft would, though

Agreed - that's the only part I wonder about. I think the above scenario would work, except...I still wonder if Mycroft won't charge in and save the day.

[identity profile] fenm.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 02:09 am (UTC)(link)
Mycroft hasn't detected Moriarty at this point, or his activities

How do you know that?

[identity profile] fenm.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 02:11 am (UTC)(link)
Which actually kinda proves ungalad's point. You really think an IT guy would look cocky and confident around a bomb? And with a gun in his face? Unless Jim put a background in the military in his resume, his actions don't look the way most people would react to the situation at all.
aelfgyfu_mead: Aelfgyfu as a South Park-style cartoon (Sherlock)

[personal profile] aelfgyfu_mead 2011-02-21 02:25 am (UTC)(link)
Interesting! I feel like I did read a fic with this set-up, though, not all that long ago. It didn't end up on my recs list, so I have no idea where I read it. It didn't have police snipers at the scene already, and I think it did actually have an explosion. Sherlock and John were relatively unharmed, but then they were implicated, and the explosives turned out to have been bought on Sherlock's card and so on. I could give more details, but I might be mixing up more than one fic, to tell the truth.

I know no spoilers whatsoever, so no worries on that count. Shoot, I don't even know the air date (which I would love to know!).

Part of me is trying to poke holes in your version, which is hardly fair, because the actual televised stories have more holes than my metal colander. I'm not sure how Jim would explain his presence there. If the semtex vest is real, John and Sherlock's fingerprints all over it, and surely forensic evidence that John had worn it for a time, would sort well with their version but not with Jim's: why would Sherlock put John in a semtex vest if they're on the same side? If John is not on Sherlock's side, and he tells the police what was said and done, then Jim's behavior looks entirely suspicious. They'd both have to be mad for John to wear exploding winter gear just to implicate Jim from IT.

I was rather bewildered by the number of red dots, however. If those were Moriarty's people, well, he let an awful lot of them see him in person. I'd assume he only had a couple who really knew who he was.

Then again, I read a story where it's all a bunch of laser pointers designed to freak out Sherlock. (Again, I didn't save the link.)

On the gripping hand, Moriarty may intend to dispose of many of the snipers because he doesn't want witnesses.

Also, I'd expect the police to identify themselves pretty quickly, not after they got a dozen or more snipers on the men. I'm having trouble picturing London police pulling together a dozen snipers and getting them into the building so silently that Sherlock didn't notice—but of course they can't have been there long, or they'd have noticed Moriarty's antics!

I'm interested in theories; don't like my arguing stop you from arguing back! The one thing I really can't go for, though I've read it often enough, is a solution that has the explosives shot and going up immediately while John knocks Sherlock out of the way (or vice-versa). Once Sherlock pulls the trigger, there's no time for anyone to move (unless it's on a delay, as in <a href='http://flawedamythyst.livejournal.com/378866.html">"Faint Like a Heartbeat"</a> by <user site="livejournal.com" user="flawedamythyst">). No one outruns a bullet, or an explosion. (Yeah, I don't go to a lot of action movies. I get annoyed when people outrun bullets and bomb blasts.)
errantcomment: (Default)

[personal profile] errantcomment 2011-02-21 02:31 am (UTC)(link)
I always thought it was the production team with the BBC's entire supply of laser-pointers... :p
But seriously, this is quite clever. I'm not sure if want, I'm still nursing a private wish that it's Reichenbach. Simply because if they end the series with the Final Problem I will Pout.

[identity profile] mazarin221b.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 02:42 am (UTC)(link)
Hee! I love spoilers but never post them. But what's odd, other than one Moffat interview that had next to nothing in it, I've not even seen rumors! NADA. It's almost blinding in it's absence.
aelfgyfu_mead: Aelfgyfu as a South Park-style cartoon (Watson plot)

[personal profile] aelfgyfu_mead 2011-02-21 02:56 am (UTC)(link)
I mean "arguing" in the nicest possible way! Your theory is worth some arguments to back it up! I think it's very cool. I hope they have something at least as good as you do when the show finally returns! (August, huh? Is it too much to hope that we don't get as much of a delay here in the States as we did on the first series? I could wait the first time because I didn't care yet.)

Among my in-laws, speculation and opinion are the best things to argue about. It's less fun when too many actual facts get in the way. I think perhaps I've been around them too much.

[identity profile] red-chapel.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 03:31 am (UTC)(link)
You have an interesting theory here. I would go with the obviously additional snipers as being Mycroft's people (I'm a fan of Mycroft ex machina, just so Sherlock can be right properly furious at being saved by his brother). I don't think the bomb will explode simply because, if I were Moriarty and I were putting myself in that room, there's no way there would that quantity of live explosives there. Snipers to get the individuals I didn't like, yes; but not explosives to take out the whole pool complex.

[identity profile] c0ntrarywise.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 05:49 am (UTC)(link)
Oh oooooh... I hadn't bothered thinking that the snipers could be the good guys. Just because of Moriarty's comments and the fact they're trained on John and Sherlock. But this is a really cool idea. I had figured they were laser pointers set up by Moran :P

The first comment, about the bomb not exploding, just made me wonder if it was real at all. I don't see Jim putting himself in true and proper harm's way... Though he's obviously a psychopath (and sooo changeable)

[identity profile] psychedk.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 06:08 am (UTC)(link)
LOL XD

[identity profile] psychedk.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 06:12 am (UTC)(link)
I always thought Moriarty was the one that diverted Sherlock to Minsk

Hah, this never occurred to me, but it makes total sense. Otherwise why would the ep start with a short scenes of a totally unrelated case that Sherlock doesn't even take? According to http://www.thescienceofdeduction.co.uk/forum/page3 Sherlock gets that particular case because "People reckon u get people off. Family got money. They'll pay anything." 'People' might very well be someone affiliated with Moriarty or someone pointing him towards Moriarty.

[identity profile] blacktablet.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 07:18 am (UTC)(link)
I am assuming that if Mycroft had detected a criminal mastermind operating in London, he might have said or done something about it.

This is what really bugs ME about the first season. Canonically, Mycroft is smarter than Sherlock - but in canon, I can buy Mycroft Holmes not being interested in Moriarty/not noticing him since Mycroft is clearly more into politics, not crime.

But in Sherlock, Mycroft has a keen interest in Sherlock's affairs, his life and his work. Sherlock himself describes Mycroft as the most dangerous man John will ever know, and I get the vibe that Mycroft is more interested in the overall state of the UK rather than only the political side of things. So how has Moriarty been able to build his organisation without alerting Mycroft/his (speculated) minions?

My rambly pondering aside, I love your theory, it kind of makes sense. :D I'd have to check TGG to see how the dialogue would fit a situation like that - assuming the armed response unit can hear them, of course - but other than that, I'm adding this to my mental list of "AUGH! D: What's going on??"
errantcomment: (Default)

[personal profile] errantcomment 2011-02-21 09:54 am (UTC)(link)
I don't know what I want. *mibble*

[identity profile] purplepeggy.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 03:14 pm (UTC)(link)
Woah, I love this theory!

Some of the snipers being Lestrade's makes sense. After all, Sherlock IS holding a gun. I'm pretty sure even holding a handgun at a scene like that is enough to get you shot over here.


I always thought that Mycroft knew about Moriarty, but was letting Sherlock deal with him because he knew he would enjoy it. Sort of like a cat bringing a kitten something wounded to finish off.

[identity profile] irismay42.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 06:09 pm (UTC)(link)
While I love the idea of the rozzers (I'm not sure anyone actually uses that word any more!) thinking Sherlock's the bomber, all I can say is it's a good thing they made Sherlock last year. With all the public sector cuts that lovely Mr Cameron's making there probably won't be any armed police officers left by the time they air season 2. Or any police officers. Or support staff. Grr.

So I shouldn't worry if Sherlock ends up on the lam as there'll be no-one left to chase him.

*Dismounts work-related soapbox*

[identity profile] ciaranbochna.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 07:19 pm (UTC)(link)
Ahh well, you have quite enough in your massive book o' fic to do:)

I did read that you weren't doing fic, apparently my processing skills are nada atm..lol

[identity profile] lurkingwombat.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 07:30 pm (UTC)(link)
Yep. Spoilers bad. Can't believe anyone would look those things up... :)

[identity profile] anniehow.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 08:45 pm (UTC)(link)
That is such a coool idea!

Ha, serendipity! Just today I was re-watching the beginning of The Great Game!

[identity profile] ungalad.livejournal.com 2011-02-21 11:02 pm (UTC)(link)
I've rewatched the last minutes once with sound and once without sound, and it makes sense! I mean, if the police is there and they can't hear Jim, it could work. Otherwise, it might be a bit difficult. Either way, it's a very, very cool theory. Damn that cliffhanger of doom! Dx